Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XRP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-08 1.634408 1.969125 2.375849 2.913274 3.615102 4.515353 5.782341e+00
2024-12-15 1.193844 1.597871 2.162625 3.038481 4.418940 6.618884 1.064226e+01
2024-12-22 0.908314 1.301516 1.904958 2.952835 4.855804 8.474658 1.685561e+01
2024-12-29 0.768370 1.163644 1.819126 3.074421 5.668783 11.532335 2.904792e+01
2025-01-05 0.658174 1.039941 1.712459 3.106467 6.321023 14.811632 4.751434e+01
2025-01-12 0.562689 0.917831 1.572906 3.017630 6.659862 17.661586 7.159923e+01
2025-01-19 0.493106 0.826910 1.468059 2.963314 7.059355 21.170853 1.109779e+02
2025-01-26 0.462180 0.800632 1.482723 3.185393 8.365013 29.644828 2.309847e+02
2025-02-02 0.430291 0.766182 1.471596 3.341056 9.600062 40.143399 4.961642e+02
2025-02-09 0.392361 0.713109 1.407943 3.336016 10.301937 49.610402 9.763707e+02
2025-02-16 0.355114 0.655815 1.323310 3.244882 10.635166 57.920461 1.837271e+03
2025-02-23 0.331547 0.624010 1.292418 3.304449 11.670137 74.836893 5.179907e+03
2025-03-02 0.314999 0.605745 1.292750 3.471244 13.421402 106.521909 3.115524e+04
2025-03-09 0.294085 0.574969 1.256092 3.506780 14.607964 140.126326 3.675505e+05
2025-03-16 0.268979 0.531459 1.178615 3.375083 14.777735 162.182543 1.279207e+07
2025-03-23 0.256828 0.516417 1.174455 3.511546 16.775040 237.024947 NaN
2025-03-30 0.242379 0.494067 1.146141 3.547491 18.213446 323.235934 NaN
2025-04-06 0.225017 0.462704 1.087203 3.441905 18.543891 387.498073 NaN
2025-04-13 0.210670 0.437218 1.041371 3.377609 19.182886 484.759933 NaN
2025-04-20 0.206538 0.436558 1.068457 3.640274 23.094147 909.919865 NaN
2025-04-27 0.200360 0.429959 1.076514 3.824912 26.771499 1668.311549 NaN
2025-05-04 0.190270 0.412148 1.046665 3.818924 28.500885 2497.843493 NaN
2025-05-11 0.178889 0.389866 0.999324 3.710779 28.919477 3264.632768 NaN